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Don't panic the people

By Laurie Garrett, Special to CNN
March 18, 2011 -- Updated 0959 GMT (1759 HKT)
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STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • Laurie Garrett says NRC chair sowed panic when he said Japan understating health risk
  • She says people everywhere ran to buy iodine; leaders strove to reassure their citizens
  • Garrett: Brain's amygdala controls fear, even of distant threats
  • Garrett: Jaczko's remarks stoked fear, distrust in Japan's leaders

Editor's note: Laurie Garrett is a Pulitzer Prize winning writer and Senior Fellow for Global Health at the Council on Foreign Relations. Her forthcoming book is "I Heard the Sirens Scream: How Americans Responded to the 9/11 and Anthrax Attacks," Amazon, Spring 2011.

(CNN) -- In the decorous chambers of the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Wednesday a U.S. bureaucrat launched a tsunami of panic that has spread further worldwide than the real tsunami that devastated much of Japan on March 11.

In testimony to Congress, Nuclear Regulatory Commission Chairman Gregory Jaczko said, "There is no water in the spent fuel pool and we believe that radiation levels are extremely high, which could possibly impact the ability to take corrective measures."

Moreover, Jaczko insisted, the Japanese government's response to its ongoing radiation problems at the Fukushima-Daiichi power plant has understated the health risks posed by the damage there. The evacuation zone for safe distancing from the plant should be at a 50-mile periphery, he said -- three times the boundary set by the government of Prime Minister Naoto Kan.

Fear followed. From Beijing to Miami, supplies of potassium iodide were snatched off drug store shelves by people convinced that clouds of lethal, cancer-inducing radiation would soon engulf their families. (The iodine pills are appropriately taken by people directly exposed to radiation to protect their thyroid glands from absorbing radioactive forms of the element.)

U.S. manufacturers of the pills quickly sold out, and are now unable to supply the genuinely needy Japanese population. In Beijing, rumors exaggerating Jaczko's comments triggered stampedes at iodide sales points, causing injuries. Authorities in the U.S., Canada and across Europe have been at pains to make people understand -- believe -- that their health is not in danger, and would not be even were a worst case multi-reactor explosion to occur at far off Fukushima.

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In Japan, Naota Kan's government is desperately balancing on the fine line between providing an appropriate sense of urgency to propel mass evacuations from designated areas, while heading off mass panic across the nation.

What we are learning in the age of globalization is that frightening and tragic events in any part of the world can trigger amygdala responses in people thousands of miles away. The amygdala, a tiny almond-shaped body inside the human brain, controls fearfulness and, more importantly, anxiety.

When triggered repeatedly by a steady supply of disturbing images, the amygdala can produce a permanently elevated sense of fear. Ultimately this can present most of the features of post-traumatic stress disorder, or PTSD -- especially depression and the drive for excessive alcohol and drug intake, even addiction.

An observer watching, for example, an earthquake on TV, experiences confusion inside the brain between profound empathy for the suffering of others and fearful apprehension that he will himself experience that tragedy. And this can produce extreme anxiety.

We have seen this before. The images of two jets flying into the Twin Towers on 9/11, and victims inside the World Trade Center leaping to their deaths triggered amygdalas on an international scale, rendering some people -- including thousands of New Yorkers, according to the city's health department -- in permanent states of PTSD.

The subsequent anthrax attacks sent people worldwide rushing to buy the antibiotic ciprofloxacin, a drug that can produce dangerous side effects.

When the Chernobyl reactor exploded in Ukraine in April, 1986, radioactive fallout fell on a European land mass of about 200,000 square kilometers, exposing about 5 million people to elevated radiation. At the time, hundreds of millions of people reported fears of developing cancer from the incident, though most of them lived well outside of the affected region. Their amygdala reactions were severe: Collective anxiety rose.

Today, government authorities in Japan and, frankly, Washington, Beijing and capitals across the planet, have the advantage of knowing a great deal more about the dangers of radiation, partly as a result of Chernobyl. But they face the disadvantage of an instantly globalized chain of images, information and misinformation assaulting the amygdala centers of their populations' collective and individual brains.

Good governance means finding a means of walking a minute-by-minute tightrope, informing and calming a frightened public. In the case of Prime Minister Kan's government, this is a monumental challenge because the Japanese people are also reeling from the Old Testament-scale catastrophes of the March 11 earthquakes and tsunamis.

Aftershocks continue to rock the nation, some 1 million people are homeless, either because their homes are gone or they've been evacuated, the nation's economy is in a tailspin and hundreds of thousands of Japanese are trying to find and help their friends and relatives. It seems trivial, given all this,that the H5N1 bird flu virus has broken out in chicken flocks across the country.

This is not a population that will benefit from worst-case scenario radiation speculation.

I do not know what exclusive information Jaczko possesses that leads him to signal to the people of Japan that they cannot trust their prime minister, that their government is lying to them, and that in the nation of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the citizenry should reject the voice of Tokyo in favor of the cries from Washington.

If the NRC has unique information or scientific analysis that exceeds available Japanese wisdom, it is unfortunate they could not share that urgency in a more discreet fashion with Tokyo. Instead, the NRC has succeeded in further distancing the Japanese people from their own government, raising their amygdala-driven anxiety levels to new highs, and dragging people all over the globalized world into a collective moment of acute fear.

This is most unfortunate.

On Thursday President Barack Obama sought to allay fears, saying twice that, "We do not expect harmful levels of radiation to reach the West Coast, Hawaii, Alaska, or U.S. territories in the Pacific. That is the judgment of our Nuclear Regulatory Commission and many other experts."

But the president maintained the differing posture with Japan, set by the NRC, regarding the necessary evacuation distance from Fukushima. While offering no specific reason for the very different assessment of radiation risk, Obama said the 50-mile periphery reflected that, "We know that the damage to the nuclear reactors in Fukushima Daiichi plant poses a substantial risk to people who are nearby. That is why yesterday, we called for an evacuation of American citizens who are within 50 miles of the plant.

"This decision was based upon a careful scientific evaluation and the guidelines that we would use to keep our citizens safe here in the United States, or anywhere in the world."

The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of Laurie Garrett.

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  • TheConstant
    @Draken

    So, why Nuclear Alert when from 4 to 5?
  • TheConstant
    Miss Pulitzer Winner,How can you be so reassured an in such a rush to play it down. Wait a minute will you?Spent fuel pool is cracked so when try to fill in it, it empties itself.Spraying water to the reactor core not so good idea, apparently causing 're-criticality' and accelerating fission, counte... more
  • Draken
    What utter BS. There is no risk of "re-criticality". There is no ongoing fission or chain reaction in any of the reactors. The heat is from decay of products from the fission going on before reactor SCRAM. Because there is a limited amount of these products the heat production can only decrease. So ... more
  • NorthernDG
    Proof that the masses lack the cognitive abilities to make sense of the situation thus they rush out to the stores in a panic buying up supplies based on their doomsday-inspired irrational fears. Bertrand Russell said it best... 5% of the people are idiots, another 5% are very intelligent; the rest ... more
  • ChinaSpy
    CNN does it again. Have you been watching CNN recently? THEY are the ones spreading nuclear fear! Non-Stop coverage always leads to hype, what else can they do? Nice that the CNN Execs can sell then short the market as they stir up fear to drive them off a cliff!
  • devided
    wrong the truth is what changes the market. It aint fear spreading its educating, you've not been to chernobyl or are in japan so your comments don't help. So how do you like silence because thats worse speculation is the only way to get the truth so that they are co-erced to comment on speculation ... more
  • Rhondalu
    I agree with the writer. There is so much speculation going on by the US media---CNN included---and that causes people to panic. The earthquake and tsunami are unprecedented in the scope of their destruction on a developed nation that it would be difficult for anyone to really see what is going on a... more
  • devided
    speculation is the only way to go d**b a**. there not telling the world. And not hard to guess whats going on its just the lead up to chernobyl type tomb.
  • NoBBBBull
    Is this author of this article wanting to censor the news we get? This is another correction to her article.Daniel B. Poneman, the deputy secretary of energy, said at a White House briefing on Thursday that one instrument pod was mounted on a helicopter, and the other on a fixed-wing aircraft."We f... more
  • TheConstant
    4 fuming reactors and 1 week to figure out a garden hose and water spray solution panicked people not Jackzo. Year 2011, XXI Century, and the world hangs on a water cannon and a electric cable to avert the worst. Japanese scientists are overrated and full of pride. They were warned.

  • beta175
    I think one doesn't even need a brain to win a Pulitzer award never mind the small amygdala area, is this woman real ? what are people supposed to believe, lie to them so as not to cause panic ! play things down and hope for the best , what ridiculous moronic rubbish , this woman should be ashamed... more
  • Draken
    You just won the prize for least intelligent post of the day. Congratulations!
  • paigelle
    "I am sure if she was living within 12 miles of this nuclear disaster she would be running like hell and stopping only to buy huge quantities of Iodine tablets."I read this considering that was exactly her point....if millions of Americans and (and others who aren't going to be affected by this) go ... more
  • oddjob3422
    Good points all around by Laurie Garrett."Gregory Jaczko said, 'There is no water in the spent fuel pool and we believe that radiation levels are extremely high, which could possibly impact the ability to take corrective measures.'"Now how in the world could this government bureaucrat know this? Hi... more
  • oddjob3422
    All the info coming from that is being given to the Japanese, to augment their own information. The story I read did not say anything about there being no water, it simply said a Northrop drone was used, and the data given to Japanese authorities.Essentially, to defend Jazcko, we have to conclude t... more
  • commenter77
    Did you not see the news? A US military drone was flown over the site and there was no water in the no 4 spent fuel pool and that really IS a true fact.
  • commenter77
    This is a quote from the San Diego Tribune. "U.S. Surgeon General Regina Benjamin said Tuesday that buying potassium iodide was “a precaution” for those worried about radiation coming from Japan — setting off warnings from state health officials that the pills can harm some people". The author of ... more
  • oddjob3422
    She's no better than this other knucklehead, Jazcko, alarming people with monumentally ignorant comments. The Jazcko comments, however, stand on their own as irresponsible, in conflict with the official story from the only people in a position to know, and in conflict with the Japanese government's... more
  • devided
    looks like there starting the witch hunt. There should be more panic. Surely you cant be that dumb it's like chernobyl. But if you believe the news its all calm in japan i dont believe that for a second people stay in your homes surely there not listening to that advice its case of grab one last thi... more
  • commenter77
    I am very knowledgeable on the subject of the human brain. I know what is wrong with the author of this article. The author of this article was born with no amygdala in her brain. We have seen this before. The images of two jets flying into the Twin Towers on 9/11, and victims inside the World Tr... more
  • oddjob3422
    Are you done with your barrage of ad hominem against the author, or is there more to come?
  • commenter77
    This article is total disinformation. I don't think that the person who wrote this article even watched 1 news program, much less studied her topic before putting pen to paper. How did this writer win a Pulitzer? It was given to her by some of the same talking head self appointed geniuses that tho... more
  • commenter77
    After reading this article I have a lot less respect for the Pulitzer.
  • commenter77
    The author of this article must be smoking crack because she sounds like and makes as much sense and has the same delusions of grandeur that charlie sheen is displaying.
  • commenter77
    When it comes to the topic of nuclear meltdowns I think I'll listen to Nuclear Regulatory Commission Chairman Gregory Jaczko and ignore the person who wrote this article. Where is laura's Doctorate in Nuclear Physics and vast Nuclear Physics experience. Plus the majority of the best scientific minds... more
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