Bayes' Theorem with Fuzzy Probabilities

David Stewart (stewartdav@yahoo.com)
Tue, 2 Mar 1999 23:05:52 +0100 (MET)

Hello. I am interested in performing Bayesian inference with fuzzy
probabilities. Before I can apply it, however, I need to understand it!

At the moment, I am attempting to understand Yin Pan and Bo Yuan's "Bayesian
Inference of Fuzzy Probabilities" which appeared in International. Journal of
General Systems (vol26(1-2), pp. 73-90) in 1997.

I believe that I understand the basic approach, but have been unable to
duplicate the results that are provided for the three given examples. (I've
come close, but my results seem to be "fuzzier" than those published.)

My question is if anyone is familiar with the paper and, if so, if you were
able to obtain the results indicated?

I would also be interested in references to other papers dealing with Bayes'
theorem with fuzzy probabilities.

Thanks,

--Dave Stewart--
_________________
David Stewart
Wichita, KS

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