Re: Adding more evidence


Subject: Re: Adding more evidence
From: Will Dwinnell (predictor@compuserve.com)
Date: Sat Jan 22 2000 - 18:01:01 MET


Larry Serflaten wrote:
"It looks to me like both conditions must be true, and both have a 50% chance of
being the correct value to pass the test. In other words, not knowing anything,
there is a (.5 * .5) 25% chance that any friut we pick up will be the
watermellon."

There is a subtle but very important point to be made regarding the language used
above: fuzzy membership values are not (!) "chances" (probabilities that some
event will ocurr). While the math may work out the same in some cases, and fuzzy
membership may happen to map to probabilities in some cases, fuzziness is not
chance.

Will Dwinnell
predictor@compuserve.com

############################################################################
This message was posted through the fuzzy mailing list.
(1) To subscribe to this mailing list, send a message body of
"SUB FUZZY-MAIL myFirstName mySurname" to listproc@dbai.tuwien.ac.at
(2) To unsubscribe from this mailing list, send a message body of
"UNSUB FUZZY-MAIL" or "UNSUB FUZZY-MAIL yoursubscription@email.address.com"
to listproc@dbai.tuwien.ac.at
(3) To reach the human who maintains the list, send mail to
fuzzy-owner@dbai.tuwien.ac.at
(4) WWW access and other information on Fuzzy Sets and Logic see
http://www.dbai.tuwien.ac.at/ftp/mlowner/fuzzy-mail.info
(5) WWW archive: http://www.dbai.tuwien.ac.at/marchives/fuzzy-mail/index.html



This archive was generated by hypermail 2b25 : Thu Apr 06 2000 - 15:59:39 MET DST