CFP -- AAAI Fall Symposium 2002 on Chance Discovery

From: Yukio Osawa (osawa@gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp)
Date: Mon Mar 18 2002 - 22:20:42 MET

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    Dear Members,

    Attached is the official CFP for the AAAI Symposium on Chance Discovery
    to be held in November 2002 in North Falmouth, Massachusetts, USA.
    Please note that the dates for submission and for the symposium itself
    are extended from those in our earlier email. We apologize for any
    inconvenience this may cause you.

    We look forward to receiving your submissions.

    Best Regards,
    Chairs of FSS02 on Chance Discovery, AAAI

    P.S. For any inquiry please feel free to touch:
    Yukio Ohsawa
    Address: GSSM, University of Tsukuba, 3-29-1 Otsuka, Bunkyo-ku
    Tokyo 112-0012 Japan
    Fax: +81-3-3942-6829
    E-mail: osawa@gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp

    ***************************************************************************

                    WITH APOLOGIES FOR MULTIPLE POSTINGS

            Chance Discovery: The Discovery and Management of Chance Events

                    November 15-17, 2002

                    Sea Crest Conference Center,
                    North Falmouth, Massachusetts USA

    Chance events are rare or novel events with potentially significant
    consequences for decision-making, i.e., events to be conceived as a risk
    or an opportunity. This symposium will be devoted to the questions: How
    may we predict, identify or explain chance events and their
    consequences? ("chance discovery") and How may we assess, prepare for or
    manage them? ("chance management").

    An agent -- human, robot or software agent -- engaged in planning needs
    to adopt a view of the future: In order to decide goals, and to decide
    the best sequence of actions to achieve these goals, how can an agent or
    agents discover rare or novel events and forecast their consequences?
    The consequences of such events may significantly impede or facilitate
    the achievement of agents' goals, but their unlikeness makes them
    difficult to predict or explain by methods that use historical data or
    pattern-matching.

    One can think of chance discovery as a search of maximum or minimum of a
    surface whose shape is unknown, in a space whose dimensions may also be
    unknown. The focus on the agent and its environment as one interacting
    system can be another viewpoint. This symposium will seek to bring
    together members of the AI community with people from various relevant
    domains listed below, to create and share approaches to chance
    discovery/management. Topics of interest include, but are not restricted
    to:

         Agent systems and planning with emergent behaviors
         Human-computer or agent-environment interactions
         Complex systems
         WWW Awareness
         Knowledge discovery and data mining
         Statistics and data analysis
         Information retrieval
         Risk analysis, prediction, assessment and management
         Marketing theory and demand forecasting for innovative products
         Opportunity identification in business
         Social trends analysis
         Social psychology
         Natural disaster prediction and management
         Management and decision sciences
         Operations research
         Philosophy of forecasting and risk
         Hypothesis discovery in scientific theories.

    Submissions:

    Potential participants are invited to submit a paper of between 1,500
    and 6000 words, proposing questions, reporting work in progress,
    discussing applications or providing a theoretical contribution. Please
    submit in PostScript format to Yukio Ohsawa:

             osawa@gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp.

    * If PostScript format is not available in your environment, please
      ask Ohsawa if your submission is acceptable, before submission.

    Important Dates:
               
            Submission: 11 May
            Notification: 14 June
            Final papers due: 6 September

            Symposium: 15-17 November, 2002.

    Information can also be obtained from the symposium web-site:

            http://www.miv.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/~matumura/FSS02/

    or the AAAI Symposium web-site:

            http://www.aaai.org/Symposia/Fall/2002/fss-02.html

    Organizing Committee:

    Yukio Ohsawa, University of Tsukuba (osawa@gssm.otsuka.tsukuba.ac.jp)
    (Chair)
    Simon Parsons, University of Liverpool (s.d.parsons@csc.liv.ac.uk)
    Peter McBurney, University of Liverpool (p.j.mcburney@csc.liv.ac.uk).

    ****************************************************************************

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